Our Predictions
Cape Verde lead the group, have won 6 of 8 qualifiers, and are in better form than Libya. The odds show them as favorites.
Recent head-to-head meetings have been low-scoring, with just 5 total goals in 3 games. The odds strongly favor at least one team not scoring.
The teams have combined for less than 2 goals per game in their last 5 matches each. The odds make Under 2.5 a clear value pick.
Libya vs Cape Verde: World Cup Qualifying Fireworks Expected
Welcome, football fans, to Extratips—your home for sharp match previews and honest predictions. This Wednesday, all eyes turn to a crucial World Cup qualifier as Libya host rising stars Cape Verde. Kick-off for CAF Group D is set for October 8th, 2025 at 13:00 UTC. Both teams still dream of making 2026, but only one is riding a real wave of form.
Libya hold 4th place in the group (14 points, 8 games), trailing Cape Verde by 5 points. The visitors sit second with 19 points and a +5 goal difference. For Cape Verde, this is a chance to cement their surprise run. For Libya, a win could spark late qualification drama. The stakes? Massive.
Recent form shows a gap. Cape Verde have lost just once in 8 qualifiers and recently beat Libya 1-0 at home. Libya, though organized, lack the same cutting edge. Their last five games show 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Cape Verde, meanwhile, have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five—showing better consistency.
Head-to-head, Cape Verde have the edge. The last three meetings saw them win twice and Libya once—no draws since 2015. The pattern? Tight, competitive games, decided by fine margins. Goals have not flowed freely between them.
Libya’s squad is hardworking, but lacks firepower—only one regular midfielder has scored in qualifying. Cape Verde, by contrast, spread the goals around. D. Livramento and E. El Mariamy are hitting form, while F. Mansour Salama provides key assists.
Tactical notes: Libya may focus on defensive solidity at home. Cape Verde’s pace and movement could break them down. Both teams look set to play direct, physical football.
Interesting storylines: Can Libya’s home crowd become the 12th man? Will Cape Verde’s momentum carry them to the brink of World Cup glory? And, can either side find the attacking spark needed in a tense, high-pressure qualifier?
Prediction: Expect a scrappy, intense match. Cape Verde’s confidence and superior attacking options make them slight favorites. But don’t rule out a backs-to-the-wall show from Libya. Goals may be at a premium—recent history and the odds both point to a low-scoring, cagey contest.
Final verdict: Cape Verde’s form, firepower, and motivation should tip the balance. But Libya will fight tooth and nail—so expect a nervy ride for everyone watching.